The friendship between U.S. President Donald Trump and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has been strained to its limits following the recent imposition of 50% tariffs on goods imported from India. Known as "great friends" at the start of Trump’s second term, their bond now appears severed as Trump accuses India of funding Russia's war against Ukraine through its oil purchases.
The tariffs include an additional 25% penalty, which follows an initial 25% levy and has left the Indian government feeling cornered and unjustly targeted. Trump has called India's economy "dead," a stark contrast to the once optimistic outlook shared when both leaders announced a goal to increase trade to $500 billion by 2030.
Diplomatic talks have since soured, with increasing challenges stemming from geopolitical dynamics, such as Trump’s perceived favoritism towards Pakistan, and ongoing disagreements regarding Kashmir. Responses from India have been measured, with authorities hoping for a diplomatic path forward, yet frustration is mounting.
India’s reliance on Russian oil—now making up over 30% of its imports—complicates matters further. While the U.S. seeks to pressure India into compliance, analysts suggest this strategy may backfire, as Modi’s government is bound to resist concessions that could provoke domestic backlash.
Despite the turmoil, some experts argue the longstanding ties between the two nations in areas like space, IT, and defense remain intact. However, the recent discord illustrates the fragility of international relationships and raises the stakes for both leaders as they navigate their futures as allies.
