Article Text:
Two Australian mathematicians have thrown a monkey wrench into an old saying: if given forever, a monkey could type out all of Shakespeare's works. This notion is part of the "infinite monkey theorem," used to illustrate randomness and probability.
However, a new study led by researchers Stephen Woodcock and Jay Falletta debunks this idea, revealing that it would take longer than the entire lifespan of our universe for a typing monkey to recreate Shakespeare's plays, sonnets, and poems. The researchers argue that, while the theorem is mathematically valid, it’s ultimately "misleading."
The study also evaluated the typing potential of the global chimpanzee population, estimated at approximately 200,000. Their calculations show that even if every chimp typed one key per second until the end of the universe, they would fall spectacularly short of generating Shakespeare's works.
In fact, there's only a 5% chance for a single chimp to type the word "bananas" in its lifetime. Crafting a random sentence, like "I chimp, therefore I am," is even less likely—with odds at one in 10 million billion billion.
“It is not plausible that monkey labor will ever be a viable tool for creating significant written works,” the study concludes. The calculations were made using the widely agreed-upon heat death theory of the universe, a slow and cold end where everything fades away.
“This finding places the theorem among other probability puzzles, revealing how infinite resources yield results that differ greatly from reality,” Woodcock stated.
Two Australian mathematicians have thrown a monkey wrench into an old saying: if given forever, a monkey could type out all of Shakespeare's works. This notion is part of the "infinite monkey theorem," used to illustrate randomness and probability.
However, a new study led by researchers Stephen Woodcock and Jay Falletta debunks this idea, revealing that it would take longer than the entire lifespan of our universe for a typing monkey to recreate Shakespeare's plays, sonnets, and poems. The researchers argue that, while the theorem is mathematically valid, it’s ultimately "misleading."
The study also evaluated the typing potential of the global chimpanzee population, estimated at approximately 200,000. Their calculations show that even if every chimp typed one key per second until the end of the universe, they would fall spectacularly short of generating Shakespeare's works.
In fact, there's only a 5% chance for a single chimp to type the word "bananas" in its lifetime. Crafting a random sentence, like "I chimp, therefore I am," is even less likely—with odds at one in 10 million billion billion.
“It is not plausible that monkey labor will ever be a viable tool for creating significant written works,” the study concludes. The calculations were made using the widely agreed-upon heat death theory of the universe, a slow and cold end where everything fades away.
“This finding places the theorem among other probability puzzles, revealing how infinite resources yield results that differ greatly from reality,” Woodcock stated.