In brief
As the elections unfold, the AfD struggles against a united front of mainstream parties determined to keep it out of power.
Germany is in the midst of a critical election, and while the far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is gaining traction in polls, it remains unlikely that they will join the next government. Early indicators suggest that the AfD is coming in second place largely due to its tough stance on immigration and promises to deport some migrants. However, all other mainstream political parties have pledged to maintain a "firewall," excluding the AfD from coalition talks. This firewall has been established as a protective measure against extremist groups since the end of World War II, with parties arguing that the AfD has extremist elements that threaten democratic values. The AfD's association with controversial figures and incidents has solidified this stance, as members have faced legal issues related to promoting extremist rhetoric.Despite calls from figures like U.S. Vice President JD Vance to reconsider the exclusion of hard-right parties, Germany's leaders, including potential future Chancellor Friedrich Merz, have reiterated their commitment to keeping the AfD out of government. However, if the AfD secures over 20% of the vote, it may complicate the efforts to keep the political blockade intact, prompting discussions on the future of the AfD's role in German politics.
