Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky finds himself in a precarious situation after a recent meeting with President Trump, which ended unfavorably for him. With the US choosing to pause aid, Zelensky's strategic options are shrinking rapidly. Even Senator Lindsey Graham, once an ally, has suggested that Zelensky should either resign or make significant changes to his approach, hinting that an apology to Trump might be necessary.
A minerals deal that was on the table may be Zelensky's best shot at re-establishing US support. Zelensky’s adviser recently revealed ongoing talks with US Congressman Brian Fitzpatrick regarding the deal, indicating it could be mutually beneficial. Yet, Trump made it clear that Zelensky currently lacks leverage, stating, “You don't have the cards right now.”
Zelensky can't afford to bow too low, however. Ukrainians, weary from years of Russian aggression, are averse to any form of capitulation. He might have to find a way to reassure Trump without diminishing his presidency; resigning is not on the agenda as it would only strengthen Putin's narrative against him.
Despite the pause in US military aid potentially hindering Ukraine's defense capabilities, Ukrainian officials assert they can withstand challenging times without assistance, albeit with limitations on military resources. Fortunately, some European nations have ramped up their support, with EU President Ursula von der Leyen proposing substantial defense funding, which may include aid to Ukraine.
However, both the EU and UK emphasize the critical need for US security guarantees, especially if there’s a move towards a ceasefire. Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal has underscored the necessity of US support as “existentially important” for Ukraine's defense and stability.
