Iranian missile tests have recently made headlines, particularly following their attempt to target a joint US-UK military base in Diego Garcia. Last Friday, two missiles were launched; one failed and the other was intercepted, as reported by UK Defence Secretary John Healey. This incident, occurring approximately 4,000 km from Iran, raises alarms about the potential range of Iranian missiles, with fears that not only could they reach Diego Garcia, but perhaps even major European cities like London and Paris.

Doubts remain about the true capability of Iranian missiles to hit such distant targets, yet one of the failed missiles was reported to have traveled about 3,000 km. Previously, Iran claimed to limit the operational range of its missiles to 2,000 km. However, new evidence suggests that some Iranian missiles could potentially have a range of up to 4,000 km, thereby putting much of mainland Europe in range.

The United States and UK have been closely monitoring missiles from Iran and are equipped with systems that track launches globally. There’s a collective effort to mitigate threats from potential missile attacks stemming from the Middle East, with existing defense systems positioned throughout Europe. Despite the theoretical discussions around the potential for Iran to target London or Paris, experts believe that the practical risk remains low given the inaccuracies associated with long-range missile launches.

While it's important to acknowledge the technical capabilities, the sentiment among security analysts suggests that the threat level posed by Iranian missiles to these European capitals should be managed with a clear understanding of the current missile capabilities and existing defense measures.